Home2019December 2019 - Taiwan Report

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Today, Dec 31, is the last day that polls can be published before the ten-day blackout period starts. A couple last polls straggled in this morning, so I can now present the final weighted poll chart for this year’s election. (For methodology, please refer to the original post.) This is an astonishing chart. All year long, Tsai Ing-wen’s fortunes have steadily improved while Han’s continually eroded. There was no single event that suddenly transformed the...

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… However, Taiwan’s minimum wage has grown faster under Tsai than it did under the country’s previous two leaders. Tsai has pointed out herself that the minimum wage increases she has made over the past three years is “on par with that of the previous government over the past eight years.” Tsai is right. One key reason why Taiwan’s minimum wage stagnated was because her predecessors, Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) and Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九), allowed it...

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Taipei, Dec. 31 (CNA) An anti-infiltration bill which criminalizes political activities backed by hostile foreign forces such as China, was pushed through the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)-controlled legislature Tuesday, despite protests from the opposition that the bill could be used to suppress those who hold different political views to the government. … KMT lawmakers chose not to vote during the bill review process and staged a sit-in protest to show their dissatisfaction. The KMT has...

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… In polls gauging support for political parties in the at-large legislator races, a my-formosa.com poll conducted Dec. 25-26 gave the DPP a 32.4 percent-22.5 percent edge over the KMT. Another 9.6 percent went to the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) — a new party created by Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)– and 7.2 percent went to the NPP. Those vote totals would translate to 15 seats for the DPP, 11 for the KMT, five for...

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People First Party (PFP) Chairman and presidential candidate James Soong (宋楚瑜) yesterday held a livestream event on Facebook as he had breakfast with Hon Hai Precision Industry Co founder Terry Gou (郭台銘) in Taipei. … The group engaged in a casual discussion ranging from stories about Gou’s career to the televised presidential debate on Sunday. In response to media queries about whether the livestream aimed to foster discussion, and prevent Soong and the party being...

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Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) lashed out at the media during the televised presidential debate on Sunday because the Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) presidential candidate is a “long-time victim” of “irresponsible news” and he was “making a stand against injustice,” his campaign office spokeswoman Anne Wang (王淺秋) said yesterday. … The freedom of the press is a universal value, but it does not entitle the media to deliver any report without boundaries, Wang said yesterday,...

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… Taiwanese are the most divided they have ever been over the issue of independence and national identity, the survey said. Among respondents aged 30 or younger, nearly 60 percent said they choose independence, while more than 60 percent of those aged 40 or older said they preferred maintaining the “status quo,” the survey said. Overall, those who favored keeping the “status quo” remained in the majority, although those who support unification with China dropped...

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This week, hosts Michael Turton (麥哲恩) and Courtney Donovan Smith (石東文) discuss the presidential debate, the future of the KMT, polling and how youth have turned away from the KMT. The “anti-infiltration” bill proposed by the DPP causes concerns, as does the infiltration itself–but it’s a tricky line to balance if freedoms are to be preserved. Socially conservative KMT campaign strategies south of the Zhuoshui River, New Taipei Mayor Hou You-yi is tops in the...

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Depending on where you stand on the political spectrum, a poll held of 11,369 high school and university students was either very good news, middling news, or very, very dire news.  Of those students, it’s unclear how many of the college level students were of voting age, but a rough guess might be about half.  What’s important, though, is that this is the generation coming into voting age, and their preferences are radically different from...

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This week, hosts Michael Turton (麥哲恩) and Courtney Donovan Smith (石東文) discuss the presidential debate, the future of the KMT, polling and how youth have turned away from the KMT. The “anti-infiltration” bill proposed by the DPP causes concerns, as does the infiltration itself–but it’s a tricky line to balance if freedoms are to be preserved. Socially conservative KMT campaign strategies south of the Zhuoshui River, New Taipei Mayor Hou You-yi is tops in the...